Unvalidated model estimates
Builder uses the current model estimate. Calibration and joint-entry accuracy have not been established. A fixed haircut does not measure correlation or guarantee conservatism.
PRIVATE DECISION + RISK LAYER
Build the entry.
Control the exposure.
Bankroll Builder starts with your hand-picked Builder Pool. Save Prospects, then tap + Builder on the exact props you want considered. Bozzle checks combinations and estimates their value at the multiplier you enter. Choose conservative Kelly sizing or the optional Bozzle Aggressive two-pick plan.
Scenario estimates have not been validated on held-out outcomes.
Probabilities, joint win estimates, EV and Kelly sizing are unvalidated model scenarios. They assume independent legs plus a fixed haircut. A positive estimate does not establish a profitable edge. Forecast and availability evidence must be less than five minutes old.
TRACK YOUR ACTUAL RESULTS
Your Flex receipts, in one place.
Record daily stakes and returns, edit past entries, and follow your private dollar bankroll.
OPEN FLEX TRACKER ↗01 · INPUTS
Your private bankroll rules.
LOCAL BROWSER ONLY
HARD BLOCK same player
HARD BLOCK same correlation cluster
HARD BLOCK same game
PORTFOLIO no repeated leg
Save props to My Prospects, tap + Builder on the ones you want considered, then build the plan.
METHOD
How the sizing works.
Correlation controls
Same-player and same-cluster combinations are blocked. Same-game combinations are blocked because Bozzle does not yet have a trained covariance model.
Payout scenarios
Scenario EV per $1 = win estimate × total-return multiplier + refund estimate − 1. Integer lines and non-integer scoring need coherent win, push and loss probabilities. Unknown semantics are excluded. Other void or partial-payout rules are unsupported.
Choose your exposure
Conservative and Standard use fractional Kelly and small exposure caps. Bozzle Aggressive uses your fixed unit on up to four qualifying two-picks and can put the entire bankroll at risk.