Calibrated probabilities
Builder uses Bozzle's final calibrated probability, never the raw model probability.
PRIVATE DECISION + RISK LAYER
Build the entry.
Control the exposure.
Bankroll Builder starts with the day's current Bozzle-qualified projections, removes weak or correlated combinations, calculates expected value at the multiplier you are actually offered, and sizes only positive-EV entries within conservative bankroll limits.
Positive EV is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Bozzle uses calibrated model probabilities. Sports outcomes remain uncertain, and short-run results can vary substantially even when an estimated edge is positive.
01 · INPUTS
Your private bankroll rules.
LOCAL BROWSER ONLY
HARD BLOCK same player
HARD BLOCK same correlation cluster
DEFAULT BLOCK same game
PORTFOLIO no repeated leg
Run an NFL or MLB Daily Scan first, then open Bankroll Builder.
METHOD
How the sizing works.
Correlation controls
Same-player and same-cluster combinations are blocked. Same-game combinations are blocked by default because Bozzle does not yet have a trained covariance model.
Expected value
For an all-or-nothing multiplier M, estimated EV per $1 = joint probability × M − 1. Negative EV is automatically SKIP.
Fractional Kelly
Positive-EV entries use a conservative fraction of Kelly, then hit stricter per-entry and total-slate exposure caps.